We have been hoodwinked by a number of candidates planted by president Museveni, in his usual guerrilla tactics, as contestants against him. Some of whom have actually presented a very stiff challenge against him.
If wisdom prevails within the NRM and FDC, Mr. Museveni and Dr. Besigye will not contest for the presidency in 2016, which will offer better prospects for good governance and economic development in the country. Should one of them contest, and actually win the election, things will most likely not be any much different from what they are now.
Pray the 2 step aside. NRM will then front a candidate with Mr. Museveni’s backing, who will most likely be his rubberstamp. FDC will also give the electorate different nominee. It will most likely be much harder for FDC to sell their candidate than it will be for NRM, with their added expertise in vote rigging.
DP’s Norbert Moa is likely to appear on the ballot in 2016. He is by the way one of those I am closely watching to give my support. His clean record of success as MP and LC5, Gulu speaks for itself. Interesting how Ssebaggala hoped to win over such a brainy gentleman in the recent DP presidential elections!
There is the Hon. Lord Mayor Erias Lukwago. He has positioned himself as an ally of the people of Kampala, a move that has him widely viewed by sections in the country as a pro-people leader. As an MP, he did well in promoting good governance and transparency in the country. This saw him expose the dubious activities of many in government relating to the sale of KCC property in the capital.
Mr. Lukwago determined to ‘clean up’ Kampala with the same audacity, if not more, that the thieves determined to progress their dirty deals. He has always been careful not to alienate his constituents. As a wise politician, and leader, we cannot, with absolute certainty, say he is not eying the presidency. And his desired time is possibly 2016.
One wonders why he never contested for the presidency of DP. Whatever the reasons, he was smart. He freed himself up to ally with any political faction he saw fit without the burden of party restrictions. He has enjoyed the support of IPC, FDC, DP, JEEMA and other parties, but more so the support of the man on the street.
His bid for the presidency will enjoy much support. Most likely, Dr. Besigye will bless him, along with FDC. The Colonel will do much to sell him in the west and in every area where FDC has strong support. He will especially enjoy the Central Region support easily and the support of the media houses where the state hand is restrained.
The Hon. Lord Mayor Erias Lukwago will possibly win the support of many NRM ‘well-wishers’ and maybe members. The disgruntled within the NRM will want a candidate to support and might see him as that candidate.
However, the FDC support will depend on whether the party fields a candidate. There is also a possibility the Hon. Lord Mayor may see it fit to join FDC rather than remain non-aligned. Should he make that move, he can rest assured that DP, especially Moa, will be ‘enemies’.
Should the youth desire a candidate close to their age-group and energy, Mao and Lukwago will see themselves splitting that constituency. As for me, either must work hard to convince me he is better.
The Hon. Lord Mayor Erias Lukwago may also consider taking the fight against Mao to DP for the presidency. Which would be a very strong fight, and actually unnecessary, to cause an amendment in the DP constitution or much prayer to occasion reasons for an early election or to ensure that a party president does not necessarily bear the party’s flag in an election.
Whatever happens, we will have to see a need for some form of party alliance as we have seen in the past. This time, we will need meaningful alliances. Should that be the way to go, the Hon. Lord Mayor Erias Lukwago and Hon. Nobert Mao may find it helpful to reach an agreement where one supports the other for either one term or two terms with the other serving as Vice President.
That way, they scratch each other’s back in the North where Hon. Mao is certainly stronger and in the Central where the Hon. Lord Mayor is stronger. The constituents who vote on religious lines of Christianity and Islam will be well catered for. Other political parties may see their interests catered for. The IPC vote will not be split and Dr. Besigye will find his work relatively easy.
The 2 may consider a premier from the West or East and a considerable number of Ministers from either region, depending.
A political arrangement like this may weaken the NRM who, despite of their hold on everything powerful, save the people, have no acceptable candidate with a clean record that can be sold to the nation.